US-Iran Relations

US-Iran relations have grown increasingly troubled since the election of President Trump. Given the recent rhetoric from the current administration, some worry about the possibility of conventional armed conflict between the two states. Military maneuvers on both sides have postured the two nations for conflict despite some congressional efforts to…

Syria: Ankara’s Simmering Problem

Turkey in Syria  Before the Syrian Civil War, Turkey was one of the loudest voices calling for regime change in Syria. When the fighting began, Erdoğan turned his back on any positive feelings that Bashar al-Assad and he may have still had and began supporting rebel forces (Aras 2012). Turkish…

Syrian Violence Spreads to Lebanon and Iraq

With fighting in Syria escalating, Hezbollah has openly began assisting the Syrian regime in the battle for the strategic city of Qusayr. Sunni rebel groups, including the al-Qaeda affiliated Nusra Front, are retaliating by beginning violent campaigns in Lebanon. Al-Qaeda in Iraq is attempting to capitalize on the chaos in Syria by bombing Shia population centers in Iraq. An analysis of these recent developments illustrates the short- to mid-term forecast of events in Syria, Lebanon and Iraq.